Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fight won by submission? | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% |
| Gantt in Round 3 | 100% |
| Drakkar Klose vs. Tommy Gantt | 0% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% |
| Klose to win by KO/TKO? | 0% |
| Gantt to win by KO/TKO? | 0% |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% |
| Ends before Round 3? | 0% |
| Klose in Round 1 | 0% |
| Klose in Round 2 | 0% |
| Klose in Round 3 | 0% |
| Gantt in Round 1 | 0% |
| Gantt in Round 2 | 0% |
| Decision or Draw | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of توقع: noche ufc: drakkar klose vs. tommy gantt (lightweight, prelims). Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to "Drakkar Klose" if Drakkar Klose is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tommy Gantt at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for Septe…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $101K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Noche UFC: Drakkar Klose vs. Tommy Gantt (Lightweight, Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Trade توقع: Noche UFC: Drakkar Klose vs. Tommy Gantt (Ligh… on احتمالات كأس العالم
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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