Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Commanders O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Commanders O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Commanders O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Commanders O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Commanders O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 14-20 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Cowboys Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Commanders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Commanders vs. Cowboys: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Commanders vs. Cowboys | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| O/U 66.5 | 0% |
| O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| O/U 70.5 | 0% |
| O/U 72.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Commanders O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Commanders O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Commanders O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Commanders O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Commanders O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Commanders O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 25+ | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 19-24 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 13-18 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 7-12 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 1-6 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 1-6 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 7-13 | 0% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 21+ | 0% |
| Safety? | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Commanders Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
Market context
Commanders vs. Cowboys. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 0% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-20T20:25:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $5.7M.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Commanders vs. Cowboys. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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