Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 85% |
| CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5 | 78% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 78% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 65% |
| O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 56% |
| Club Olimpia O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Club Olimpia 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Club Olimpia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Club Olimpia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Club Olimpia O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 33% |
| CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5) | 30% |
| Both Teams to Score | 29% |
| O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| CR Vasco da Gama O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5) | 11% |
| Club Olimpia 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 11% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 8% |
| Club Olimpia O/U 1.5 | 7% |
| CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 5% |
| O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 3% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 3% |
| Club Olimpia (-1.5) | 2% |
| Club Olimpia (-2.5) | 1% |
| O/U 5.5 | 1% |
Market context
The توقع: CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 85% YES. More markets for the Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for August 13 at 6:00 PM ET.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets on احتمالات كأس العالم
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →