Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 38.5 | 90% |
| O/U 40.5 | 87% |
| O/U 44.5 | 82% |
| O/U 50.5 | 70% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 70% |
| O/U 52.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| O/U 54.5 | 62% |
| LSU O/U 27.5 | 62% |
| Spread -12.5 | 60% |
| LSU vs. Ole Miss | 57% |
| Spread -0.5 | 57% |
| O/U 70.5 | 57% |
| O/U 56.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 55% |
| O/U 42.5 | 55% |
| 1H Moneyline | 54% |
| LSU O/U 30.5 | 53% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Ole Miss O/U 27.5 | 52% |
| O/U 58.5 | 51% |
| O/U 46.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| LSU O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kewan Lacy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dilin Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sam Leavitt: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trinidad Chambliss: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Deuce Alexander: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trey'Dez Green: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Winston Watkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Makhi Frazier: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Harlem Berry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Stacy Gage: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eugene Wilson III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| JT Lindsey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Caleb Cunningham: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Horatio Fields: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Johntay Cook II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Caleb Odom: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jayce Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jackson Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Phillip Wright III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Caden Durham: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Luke Hasz: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Darrell Gill Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Traylon Ray: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Malik Elzy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| O/U 48.5 | 45% |
| O/U 60.5 | 45% |
| Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Spread -12.5 | 43% |
| Spread -21.5 | 41% |
| Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| O/U 62.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Ole Miss O/U 30.5 | 40% |
| O/U 64.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 35% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| O/U 66.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| O/U 68.5 | 29% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| Spread -11.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 21% |
| O/U 72.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| O/U 74.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Spread -17.5 | 15% |
| O/U 76.5 | 15% |
| Spread -18.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| O/U 78.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
Market context
توقع: LSU vs. Ole Miss — current market-implied probability: 90%. In the upcoming college football game between LSU and Ole Miss, scheduled for September 19 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game. This market will resolve to "Ole Miss" i…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.5M.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LSU vs. Ole Miss. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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