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توقع: SMU vs. Louisville

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: SMU vs. Louisville" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1H Moneyline 100% 2Q Moneyline 100% 1H Spread -1.5 100% 1H Spread -0.5 100% Volume: $1.2M Liquidity: $452K Closes: 19 Sept 2026
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توقع: SMU vs. Louisville

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1H Moneyline100%
2Q Moneyline100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H O/U 23.5100%
1H O/U 26.5100%
1H O/U 29.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 9.5100%
1Q O/U 12.5100%
1Q O/U 15.5100%
1Q O/U 18.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
SMU 1H O/U 12.5100%
SMU 1H O/U 14.5100%
SMU 1H O/U 16.5100%
Louisville 1H O/U 12.5100%
O/U 38.599%
O/U 44.599%
O/U 50.598%
3Q O/U 7.597%
3Q O/U 10.597%
3Q O/U 13.597%
3Q O/U 16.597%
3Q O/U 19.597%
Louisville O/U 23.597%
3Q Spread -1.596%
O/U 56.592%
O/U 58.591%
O/U 40.591%
O/U 42.591%
O/U 46.591%
O/U 48.591%
SMU O/U 23.591%
Louisville O/U 26.591%
Louisville 2H O/U 13.591%
3Q Spread -3.588%
O/U 60.586%
O/U 62.579%
SMU O/U 29.579%
4Q O/U 16.571%
Spread -1.570%
Spread -2.568%
O/U 64.567%
O/U 66.559%
O/U 68.557%
Spread -3.556%
O/U 52.554%
O/U 54.551%
2H O/U 23.551%
2H Moneyline50%
Louisville O/U 3.550%
SMU O/U 3.550%
Isaac Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Lincoln Kienholz: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kendrick Raphael: Anytime Touchdown50%
Derrick McFall: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tre Richardson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Yamir Knight: Anytime Touchdown50%
Keyjuan Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Marquise Davis: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dramekco Green: Anytime Touchdown50%
Yannick Smith: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jalen Cooper: Anytime Touchdown50%
Lawayne McCoy: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kevin Jennings: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaleel Skinner: Anytime Touchdown50%
Randy Pittman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
TreyShun Hurry: Anytime Touchdown50%
Theo Melin Ohrstrom: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jalen Hale: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brody Foley: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jakai Anderson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Carterrious Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
T.J. McWilliams: Anytime Touchdown50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -22.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H O/U 26.550%
2H O/U 29.550%
2H O/U 32.550%
2H O/U 35.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
4Q O/U 22.550%
SMU O/U 26.550%
SMU O/U 32.550%
SMU O/U 35.550%
Louisville O/U 29.550%
Louisville O/U 32.550%
Louisville O/U 35.550%
SMU 2H O/U 12.550%
SMU 2H O/U 14.550%
SMU 2H O/U 16.550%
Louisville 2H O/U 15.550%
Louisville 2H O/U 17.550%
Spread -19.549%
Spread -4.547%
O/U 70.547%
Spread -5.546%
O/U 72.543%
Spread -6.542%
4Q Spread -3.541%
4Q Spread -1.539%
O/U 76.538%
O/U 78.538%
Spread -8.536%
Spread -7.535%
Spread -12.534%
SMU vs. Louisville28%
Spread -9.528%
O/U 74.528%
4Q Spread -3.528%
Spread -1.524%
Spread -10.523%
Spread -2.522%
Spread -5.513%
Spread -4.512%
Spread -3.512%
Spread -16.511%
Spread -6.59%
Spread -11.58%
Spread -14.57%
3Q Spread -3.53%
1Q Moneyline0%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H O/U 32.50%
1H O/U 35.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 22.50%
Louisville 1H O/U 14.50%
Louisville 1H O/U 16.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: smu vs. louisville stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between SMU and Louisville, scheduled for September 19 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. This market will r…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1H Moneyline at 100% for "توقع: SMU vs. Louisville".

1H Moneyline 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.2M.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: SMU vs. Louisville. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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